Yes — West Bengal is already below replacement fertility rate.
- Replacement level fertility ≈ 2.1 children per woman (population stable without migration).
- West Bengal’s Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has been well below this for years:
- Around 1.8 in NFHS-4 (2015-16) — already below replacement.
- Around 1.4 in 2020 (Registrar General data).
- About 1.3 in 2023 (Sample Registration System report).
So West Bengal is not just “reduced” — it is significantly below replacement, meaning:
- Population growth slows
- Ageing increases
- Long-term decline possible without migration
This puts West Bengal in the same demographic phase as:
- Southern India (Kerala, Tamil Nadu)
- East Asia (Japan, South Korea style trajectory)
Main reasons cited:
- Higher female literacy
- Later marriage
- Urbanization
- Cost of raising children
These factors are linked to the recent fall in TFR in the state.
If you want, I can also show:
- religion-wise fertility in West Bengal
- district-wise WB fertility
- comparison: WB vs Bihar vs India
- future population projection
Just tell me.
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