Tuesday, 21 April 2026

XB

 Yes — West Bengal is already below replacement fertility rate.

  • Replacement level fertility ≈ 2.1 children per woman (population stable without migration).
  • West Bengal’s Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has been well below this for years:
    • Around 1.8 in NFHS-4 (2015-16) — already below replacement.  
    • Around 1.4 in 2020 (Registrar General data).  
    • About 1.3 in 2023 (Sample Registration System report).  

So West Bengal is not just “reduced” — it is significantly below replacement, meaning:

  • Population growth slows
  • Ageing increases
  • Long-term decline possible without migration

This puts West Bengal in the same demographic phase as:

  • Southern India (Kerala, Tamil Nadu)
  • East Asia (Japan, South Korea style trajectory)

Main reasons cited:

  • Higher female literacy
  • Later marriage
  • Urbanization
  • Cost of raising children
    These factors are linked to the recent fall in TFR in the state.  

If you want, I can also show:

  •  religion-wise fertility in West Bengal
  •  district-wise WB fertility
  •  comparison: WB vs Bihar vs India
  •  future population projection

Just tell me.


No comments:

Post a Comment